Translated by S-Yaqubi_According to Naba Khabar_Yesterday, Thursday marked a turning point in the political and social history of the United States. Donald Trump’s fans attacked the Capital Congress building. This incident disrupted the process of reviewing and confirming the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. This event happened because Donald Trump called for his supporters to gather in the U.S. capital and caused Him facing widespread criticism, both within the United States, especially from the Democratic Party, and globally in public opinion.
Following this issue, in addition to the wave of resignations and dismissals, rumors of Trump’s removal before the end of his presidency using the 25th Amendment or impeachment have become more robust. But how will the attack by Donald Trump’s supporters on the Congress building affect his political future?
Iranian diplomacy has discussed this issue in a conversation with Ali Bigdeli, a university professor and analyst on European and American issues, which you will read below:
-With the Donald Trump supporters’ attack on the capital Congress building on Thursday, the United States is becoming the center of global media and political attention, and the U.S.administration’s aligned against Trump. And as Democrats intensify their tone of speaking with Trump and intensify attacks on the United States’ current president, even more Republicans have begun to criticize, protest, and keep their distance from Trump. Just as the radical right in the United States has peaked over the past four years since Donald Trump took office, now, with his performance during this period and the end of Trump’s presidency, it will decline. In addition to the decline of this group among American society sections, likely, the ruling class and the governing body in this country will also prevent individuals from this class to reenter the United States of America’s political structure. In the most optimistic case, we can say that at least in the next few years, there will be no bed for this process to be robust again.
– But the radical socio-political currents in the United States have already been able to provide the conditions for their presence at some point, similar to what has already been seen in the Tea Party movement. So, in your opinion, if it is not possible for the radical right current to rise again, following the rise of Trump and Trumpism in the United States, but is there a possibility that another current of the same school of thought will come to power?
– As for the Tea Party movement, the starting point was the burning of a tea ship in the port of Boston in 1773 due to the struggle against the British government’s monopoly and the East India Company on the import of tea to the United States. Simultaneously, the Tea Party movement focuses on economic issues, not political and social issues. However, the protests that have arisen from this movement have shown that radical currents will either rise or fall with their actions.
-However, the current of Trumpism is a severe turning point in this process. Proponents of the QAnon conspiracy theory believe that Donald Trump, along with a secret team of U.S. military officers, is fighting demonic pedophiles within the Democratic Party, along with far-right groups, as well as supporters of baked Alaska, supporters of the “Stop Theft” election movement, the self-proclaimed “Patriotic Caravans” group, members of the “Proud Boys” group and other small and large groups showed on Wednesday and Thursday that they have undeniable power, so do you still believe that this current will decline?
– The critical point in your question is that all these various social currents in the United States, with their more or fewer supporters centered on Donald Trump, had a significant impact on the political and social developments in the United States. That is to say, what happened in Washington on Wednesday and Thursday of this week was due to Donald Trump asking for his supporters to gather and to prevent Joe Biden from winning the Senate. Without Trump, all these currents could not come together. Now that Donald’s political life will end with his presidency, it will cause these currents’ collapse. Since there is no other person at the level of Trump as President of the United States who can unite these currents, they will weaken. Donald Trump also issued a statement Friday condemning the “attack on Congress” by his supporters and calling it a “heinous attack” that would cause most of these currents to distance themselves from Donald Trump. Therefore, Donald Trump, the current of supporters and his supporters, will be separated, and as a result, both will eliminate.
– Now, let’s focus on the political future of Donald Trump before the end of his presidency. With the Democratic-centered US administration blaming Donald Trump for attacking Congress, serious efforts to oust him are now shaping the agenda before Biden takes office. In particular, House of Representatives, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has put severe pressure on Mike Pence, Donald Trump’s first deputy prime minister, to implement the fourth part of the 25th Amendment to oust the president. In your opinion, to what extent can the removal of Donald Trump be implemented based on the fourth part of the 25th Amendment?
– I find it very unlikely that Trump’s removal will be possible with less than two weeks to go until the end of his presidency. Meanwhile, with Trump’s statement today about condemning his supporters’ attack on Congress and calling it a heinous act, it seems that he has received a guarantee that he will remain in the presidency at least until the end of his presidency. Of course, the Democrats, especially the House of Representatives, and the Senate, whose situation in the shadow of the Georgia election is very different from the past, will undoubtedly use their leverage to control Donald Trump until the end of his presidency. Republicans themselves have become severe critics of Donald Trump. That is, Republicans, both in the House of Representatives and in the Senate, will undoubtedly seek control of Donald Trump until the end of his presidency. However, his performance over the past four years, especially in the months following the 2020 presidential election, has left a very bitter legacy for Republicans.
– Meanwhile, there have been rumors about Trump pardoning himself before the end of his presidency. In this way, he protects himself from any possible trial on various charges. Following the issue, the New York Times reported that U.S. President Donald Trump had talked to his aides about the possibility of his pardon, anticipating possible punishment after the end of his term on January 20. The question is, will Trump’s pardon bring him judicial immunity?
– Legal views on whether the U.S. judiciary approves such a presidential amnesty or not are contradictory. Therefore, in answer to this question, we must see what accusations Trump will face after the end of his presidency and at what level. Will security issues bring him to court, financial and economic violations, or possible abuse of power and other matters; Each has a different legal burden and judicial dimension that could overshadow Trump’s possible amnesty
