Stocks fell to start the new week on Monday as hope for a potential deal on new U.S. coronavirus stimulus soured ahead of a key deadline while Covid-19 cases are rising.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 410 points lower, or 1.4%. Earlier in the day, the 30-stock average was up more than 100 points. The S&P 500 dropped 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite pulled back 1.7%.
Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft were all down at least 2% to lead the decline along with Facebook and Apple. All 11 S&P 500 sectors fell on the day, with health care and communication services as the worst performers.
The Washington Post reported, citing sources, that a deal between Pelosi and the administration was not “sounding imminent.” The news sent the major averages to their lows of the day.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi gave the Trump administration on Sunday 48 hours to reach an aid deal before the Nov. 3 election. Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin were also slated to speak Monday afternoon.
“We’re going to continue to be very sensitive to any talk that has anything to do with stimulus,” Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute, told CNBC’s “Closing Bell.” “The way we’ve rallied [off the March lows] has been by expecting better cyclical news in terms of a vaccine, the Federal Reserve being very easy and [fiscal] stimulus.”
“I think all three of those are very important and we’ve got one leg that’s been pulled out or, at least, it’s wobbly,” Wren added.
Democrats and Republicans have tried for weeks to move forward on a new aid package. But differences over the how much stimulus is needed and how broad the bill should be have complicated the negotiations.
Tom Block, Washington policy strategist at Fundstrat Global Advisors, thinks it is possible that a deal between the Trump administration and Pelosi can be reached.
“Both sides seem to have an incentive to get a deal done,” Block said in a note to clients. He also added that “the dynamics of the lame duck could be poisonous if Trump loses, or Republicans lose control of the Senate. The safer course of action seems to be to pass a bill now, and if there is a blue wave more stimulus early in 2021.”
Meanwhile, global coronavirus cases hit 40 million on Monday, which put a damper on bullish sentiment.
A CNBC analysis of Johns Hopkins University data showed Covid-19 cases were growing by 5% or more in 38 states as of Friday. Nationwide, the daily case average has risen by more than 16% on a week-over-week basis to nearly 55,000. New coronavirus infections in Europe are rising by about 97,000 per day, up 44% from the prior week. Global coronavirus cases have also risen to more than 40 million.
The major averages were slightly higher earlier in the day as strong economic data out of China lifted market sentiment. The world’s second largest economy reported third-quarter GDP growth of 4.9%, which was on the low end of expectations, but indicates an improving outlook.
Stocks were coming off a week of choppy trading action.
The S&P 500 and the Dow fell for three straight days last week before closing slightly higher on Friday. The Nasdaq Composite posted its first four-day losing streak since September.
“A lot is very likely to happen over the next several weeks, and the broader macro picture could thus change pretty massively depending on developments along all of those fronts,” Hamid added.
